Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (107-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 42 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 37 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Noah * | 42 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 41 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 34 | 8-18 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 29 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 23 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter