Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -15 (93-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 26 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Malik Hairston * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Bowen | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter * | 41 | 11-25 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 40 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 40 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Josh Boone * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Ager | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter