Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +21 (111-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Nick Young * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javaris Crittenton * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Mike James * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Oleksiy Pecherov | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 28 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Acie Law * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mario West | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter