Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | -5.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +12 (124-112). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 25 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 22 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Villanueva * | 34 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 10-15 | 3-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 20 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Gill * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Damon Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Alexander | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter