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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% +14.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +11.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +17 (107-90). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Randy Foye * 42 3-15 3-8 1-2 1 3 2 1 2 10 0 -
Al Jefferson * 38 16-30 0-0 4-7 22 4 4 2 2 36 36 -
Sebastian Telfair * 33 4-9 3-5 2-2 1 9 0 0 2 13 12 -
Kevin Love * 33 1-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 2 2 4 7 -
Ryan Gomes * 32 5-14 1-5 1-1 2 1 2 0 0 12 3 -
Mike Miller * 29 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 7 6 -
Brian Cardinal * 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Rashad McCants * 15 1-5 1-4 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 0 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tracy McGrady * 38 6-16 3-4 0-0 2 3 3 2 3 15 6 -
Rafer Alston * 38 8-10 4-4 2-2 4 6 0 0 3 22 19 -
Ming Yao * 36 12-18 0-0 6-7 6 1 1 5 1 30 24 -
Shane Battier * 33 1-4 1-4 0-0 8 6 0 1 1 3 13 -
Metta World Peace * 33 6-12 1-5 1-2 7 6 2 1 2 14 16 -
Luis Scola * 19 3-10 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
Carl Landry * 18 5-9 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 10 7 -
Aaron Brooks * 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Dikembe Mutombo * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Von Wafer * 4 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Chuck Hayes 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter