Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 39 | 10-20 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 10 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 34 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| James Singleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter