Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 44 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 37 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 37 | 13-28 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 24 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 43 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 42 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 36 | 11-19 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter