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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.9% 66.1% +4.1 โœ— (15.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% - โœ—
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 โœ— (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns -11 (111-122). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Gordon * 39 8-14 5-7 5-5 1 6 1 0 0 26 20 -
Luol Deng * 37 7-16 0-0 3-3 10 1 0 0 2 17 10 -
Derrick Rose * 31 12-19 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 0 0 26 17 -
Joakim Noah * 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 4 11 -
Tyrus Thomas * 25 4-9 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 10 7 -
Kirk Hinrich * 24 6-14 1-4 2-3 1 6 3 0 3 15 8 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 21 4-6 1-2 2-2 8 2 1 1 2 11 15 -
Andres Nocioni * 16 4-10 1-4 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 11 1 -
Aaron Gray 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 2 6 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amar'e Stoudemire * 43 4-7 0-0 4-7 6 1 1 0 1 12 12 -
Grant Hill * 39 5-9 0-0 9-9 5 5 0 2 0 19 22 -
Steve Nash * 37 7-14 0-3 1-2 2 10 0 0 7 15 6 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 35 6-11 0-0 6-9 8 2 0 2 3 18 16 -
Jason Richardson * 32 3-8 1-4 5-6 3 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
Leandro Barbosa * 32 11-17 3-5 7-7 5 1 0 0 0 32 21 -
Matt Barnes * 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Lou Amundson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter