Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✗ (19.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -11 (85-96). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Villanueva * | 41 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Bogut | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Solomon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter