Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 38 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eddie House * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 43 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 38 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter