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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -9 (89-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Iverson * 40 5-15 0-0 9-10 4 3 1 0 0 19 12 -
Rodney Stuckey * 39 4-10 0-1 6-7 5 6 0 1 2 14 14 -
Rasheed Wallace * 39 9-16 2-6 5-6 10 2 5 1 1 25 26 -
Tayshaun Prince * 37 5-8 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 0 11 12 -
Antonio McDyess * 30 6-11 0-0 2-3 10 0 0 0 1 14 12 -
Richard Hamilton * 21 5-12 1-1 0-2 2 4 0 0 1 11 4 -
Amir Johnson * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 2 4 -
Jason Maxiell * 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Arron Afflalo * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Randy Foye * 41 6-14 0-3 3-4 5 5 1 0 0 15 12 -
Al Jefferson * 38 11-23 0-1 2-4 6 1 0 2 3 24 7 -
Ryan Gomes * 37 4-7 1-3 1-1 5 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
Mike Miller * 35 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 5 0 0 3 5 8 -
Kevin Love * 25 6-11 0-0 5-5 10 4 0 0 0 17 20 -
Craig Smith * 22 4-9 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 8 6 -
Sebastian Telfair * 20 4-6 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 8 5 -
Rodney Carney * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Brian Cardinal 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter