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2009-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% - โœ—
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.1 โœ— (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.9% 36.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +1 (109-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 43 8-19 0-1 2-3 3 7 2 1 5 18 7 -
Luol Deng * 42 7-14 0-0 8-10 8 4 1 1 1 22 21 -
Ben Gordon * 39 10-20 3-6 0-1 3 3 1 0 2 23 8 -
Joakim Noah * 35 7-10 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 8 0 14 25 -
Andres Nocioni * 29 5-9 2-4 3-5 6 1 1 0 1 15 13 -
Tyrus Thomas * 27 3-5 0-0 5-6 9 0 2 1 2 11 16 -
Kirk Hinrich * 22 0-7 0-3 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 1 -6 -
Aaron Gray * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Jefferson * 41 16-30 0-0 7-10 9 1 0 0 1 39 18 -
Randy Foye * 41 2-11 0-5 5-5 3 6 3 0 5 9 5 -
Sebastian Telfair * 41 3-10 1-2 2-2 4 5 1 1 1 9 9 -
Mike Miller * 35 1-4 0-1 3-3 3 7 0 0 2 5 9 -
Kevin Love * 33 8-11 0-0 3-6 15 1 0 0 1 19 23 -
Ryan Gomes * 27 3-11 1-5 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
Rodney Carney * 20 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
Craig Smith * 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
Brian Cardinal 6 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter