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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +11.0 โœ“ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +2 (106-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 42 3-10 1-2 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 7 6 -
Kevin Martin * 39 4-8 1-4 11-12 1 1 0 0 6 20 8 -
Beno Udrih * 35 4-11 2-4 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 12 9 -
Brad Miller * 33 5-11 1-1 3-3 13 9 1 0 1 14 25 -
Francisco Garcia * 29 7-15 2-7 3-5 1 2 0 0 0 19 7 -
Jason Thompson * 28 6-9 0-0 4-4 9 0 0 1 2 16 15 -
Bobby Jackson * 12 2-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
Spencer Hawes * 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Bobby Brown * 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Jefferson * 46 8-19 0-4 4-6 3 3 1 0 3 20 5 -
Francisco Elson * 34 5-11 0-0 0-2 12 2 5 2 2 10 18 -
Luke Ridnour * 30 3-11 1-3 0-0 4 8 0 3 1 7 10 -
Michael Redd * 26 5-10 0-2 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 14 10 -
Ramon Sessions * 24 4-9 0-0 6-8 5 3 0 0 1 14 12 -
Charlie Villanueva * 21 7-13 1-2 3-3 10 1 0 0 1 18 15 -
Tyronn Lue * 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Dan Gadzuric * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Malik Allen * 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Luc Mbah a Moute 18 4-6 0-0 5-7 9 2 1 0 1 13 18 -

* = starter