Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -21 (91-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Singleton * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -4 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter