Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 42 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 19 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 45 | 10-21 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 43 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 43 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Thomas Gardner * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Acie Law * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter