Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -7 (122-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 39 | 16-26 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 24 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 33 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Alexander * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 14-15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| John Salmons * | 31 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Jackson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter