Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +22 (109-87). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 30 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 20 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Willie Green * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donyell Marshall | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter