Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -3 (99-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 5-20 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 28 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 27 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 42 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 40 | 8-21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | -3 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Joe Alexander * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter