Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (110-106). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 45 | 12-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 45 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 43 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 39 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 45 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 44 | 6-20 | 2-6 | 10-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 28 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter