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2009-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 โœ— (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 43 6-14 0-1 6-6 10 2 1 1 2 18 16 -
Raymond Felton * 41 9-15 2-3 3-3 6 9 0 0 1 23 22 -
Raja Bell * 37 3-9 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
Boris Diaw * 35 2-8 0-0 3-4 4 6 2 0 0 7 11 -
Emeka Okafor * 32 6-11 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 0 5 13 6 -
Juwan Howard * 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
Nazr Mohammed * 11 0-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Sean Singletary * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Matt Carroll 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Adam Morrison 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 39 4-12 1-2 2-2 9 5 1 2 0 11 16 -
Rodney Stuckey * 38 8-11 1-1 5-8 6 5 0 0 2 22 20 -
Allen Iverson * 37 5-12 0-2 3-4 1 5 1 0 4 13 4 -
Richard Hamilton * 35 4-12 1-3 1-2 5 2 1 1 0 10 7 -
Rasheed Wallace * 29 7-14 2-5 0-0 7 0 1 2 2 16 10 -
Antonio McDyess * 26 1-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 2 6 -
Jason Maxiell * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Will Bynum * 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Arron Afflalo * 6 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Amir Johnson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter