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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 โœ— (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (106-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Redd * 42 12-24 4-9 4-5 3 2 0 0 1 32 12 -
Richard Jefferson * 42 10-15 2-2 7-7 3 3 0 0 1 29 19 -
Luke Ridnour * 35 6-13 0-1 0-0 9 6 1 0 0 12 15 -
Andrew Bogut * 27 7-8 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 2 3 14 14 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Charlie Villanueva * 19 2-6 0-1 3-4 5 2 0 2 1 7 9 -
Dan Gadzuric * 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 4 7 -
Charlie Bell * 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 0 -1 -
Ramon Sessions * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 2 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sebastian Telfair * 40 5-11 2-5 5-7 3 11 1 0 5 17 16 -
Al Jefferson * 32 8-20 0-0 4-7 7 2 1 0 2 20 8 -
Ryan Gomes * 31 4-8 2-2 6-6 3 1 0 0 1 16 11 -
Randy Foye * 30 4-12 2-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 1 11 2 -
Rodney Carney * 30 7-11 4-6 4-5 3 1 0 1 1 22 15 -
Mike Miller * 28 3-8 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
Kevin Love * 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 12 1 1 0 1 5 14 -
Craig Smith * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Brian Cardinal * 12 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 5 5 -

* = starter