Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (27.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +28 (128-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 21 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Singleton * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Devean George * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Green | 8 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 33 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 26 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 19 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alando Tucker | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Goran Dragic | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter