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2009-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 40 3-11 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 6 3 -
Boris Diaw * 39 2-12 1-6 3-4 7 5 0 0 5 8 3 -
Raymond Felton * 36 4-10 1-3 4-6 4 8 1 0 1 13 15 -
Emeka Okafor * 34 10-13 0-0 4-6 11 0 0 2 2 24 22 -
Raja Bell * 25 6-9 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 13 4 -
Juwan Howard * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
Matt Carroll * 14 4-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
D.J. Augustin * 14 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
Nazr Mohammed * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Sean Singletary * 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 4 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 39 7-13 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 3 15 7 -
Andre Miller * 39 9-12 1-1 3-5 4 6 2 0 2 22 20 -
Andre Iguodala * 39 4-12 2-4 2-2 2 7 1 0 1 12 9 -
Lou Williams * 29 3-6 0-1 6-7 4 4 0 1 3 12 12 -
Samuel Dalembert * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 4 2 4 10 -
Willie Green * 18 5-9 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 11 5 -
Reggie Evans * 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Royal Ivey * 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Theo Ratliff * 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Marreese Speights 16 4-11 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 2 0 9 4 -

* = starter