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2009-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 โœ“ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +30 (111-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Boris Diaw * 37 5-12 0-1 0-0 8 6 2 1 3 10 12 -
D.J. Augustin * 34 3-8 2-5 3-3 3 3 0 0 2 11 7 -
Gerald Wallace * 32 6-10 0-2 2-3 0 3 1 0 2 14 6 -
Raymond Felton * 31 6-11 0-1 3-3 1 2 2 0 1 15 8 -
Emeka Okafor * 25 2-7 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 2 4 7 5 -
Sean Singletary * 19 4-7 1-2 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
Matt Carroll * 17 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Ryan Hollins * 16 1-3 0-0 3-5 4 0 1 1 0 5 8 -
Adam Morrison * 12 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Juwan Howard * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Alexis Ajinca 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delonte West * 34 3-5 0-1 1-1 5 7 3 1 1 7 17 -
Anderson Varejao * 32 6-9 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 1 2 14 13 -
LeBron James * 30 9-16 0-1 3-3 4 4 2 2 4 21 13 -
Wally Szczerbiak * 28 5-9 3-3 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 15 11 -
Mo Williams * 26 5-11 1-4 4-4 2 6 1 0 3 15 10 -
Daniel Gibson * 24 6-8 3-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 15 13 -
JJ Hickson * 23 6-9 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 1 2 13 9 -
Ben Wallace * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 4 11 -
Sasha Pavlovic 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Darnell Jackson 5 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Lorenzen Wright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tarence Kinsey 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter