Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.1% | 49.9% | +0.8 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✗ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +20 (102-82). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| James Singleton * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Devean George * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shawne Williams | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 41 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter