Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (122-117). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 38 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 36 | 13-24 | 7-12 | 12-12 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 25 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 39 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 13-16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter