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2009-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (115-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Jackson * 37 7-14 2-3 9-11 3 7 1 1 6 25 17 -
Andris Biedrins * 33 8-12 0-0 2-6 13 1 0 2 0 18 22 -
Jamal Crawford * 32 3-12 1-6 4-4 3 3 1 0 1 11 5 -
C.J. Watson * 31 3-8 1-3 4-4 6 2 3 0 1 11 13 -
Marco Belinelli * 29 3-8 1-2 3-4 2 6 3 0 3 10 10 -
Ronny Turiaf * 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 2 8 8 -
Anthony Morrow * 21 6-11 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
Kelenna Azubuike * 16 0-2 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Rob Kurz * 15 4-7 0-2 1-1 3 1 0 1 1 9 6 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Jefferson * 40 11-22 0-0 10-10 10 2 1 1 1 32 23 -
Ryan Gomes * 32 9-16 2-3 1-2 10 1 1 0 2 21 15 -
Randy Foye * 30 6-12 1-2 4-5 3 7 4 1 3 17 17 -
Sebastian Telfair * 25 2-11 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 4 0 -
Kevin Love * 25 6-9 0-0 7-8 8 1 0 0 2 19 17 -
Mike Miller * 23 1-3 0-2 5-8 5 1 1 0 0 7 11 -
Rodney Carney * 19 3-7 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Kevin Ollie * 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 2 7 -
Brian Cardinal * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Craig Smith * 8 1-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
Rashad McCants * 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

* = starter