Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | -0.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +21 (94-73). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 23 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 19 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luther Head * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 12 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 32 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Hassan Adams | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter