Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (107-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 39 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 8-20 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Parker * | 42 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 41 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 10-13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter