Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (129-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 41 | 10-22 | 6-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 20 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 41 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 34 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Simmons * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 16-31 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 22 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter