Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (101-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 39 | 15-19 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 29 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 35 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 30 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 25 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter