Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (100-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 32 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Devean George * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| James Singleton * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter