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2008-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -5.9 โœ“ (16.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 โœ“ (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“

Actual: LA Clippers -22 (75-97). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Bosh * 37 9-15 2-3 11-15 7 2 2 2 2 31 27 -
Jose Calderon * 35 3-7 1-2 1-1 5 9 1 0 2 8 14 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 34 11-20 0-0 1-2 9 1 2 5 2 23 18 -
Anthony Parker * 28 5-7 2-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 12 12 -
Jamario Moon * 24 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 1 0 6 13 -
Jason Kapono * 24 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 4 1 -
Joey Graham * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Andrea Bargnani * 14 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
Will Solomon * 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 6 7 -
Jake Voskuhl * 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
Roko Ukic 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kris Humphries 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Gordon * 45 6-14 3-4 4-4 4 1 0 0 2 19 8 -
Baron Davis * 40 4-15 2-3 6-6 3 9 2 0 6 16 9 -
Al Thornton * 33 1-10 0-0 3-4 9 3 2 0 1 5 8 -
DeAndre Jordan * 29 3-5 0-0 2-5 8 0 0 3 1 8 13 -
Zach Randolph * 27 8-17 1-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 3 19 10 -
Steve Novak * 21 2-9 1-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -4 -
Brian Skinner * 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Jason Hart * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Paul Davis 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
Mardy Collins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter