Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +32 (113-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Crawford * | 32 | 7-21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rob Kurz * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 10 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Williams | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| DeMarcus Nelson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 28 | 9-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 27 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 20 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 17 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| JJ Redick | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter