Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +11 (107-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Garcia * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| John Salmons * | 38 | 11-16 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 25 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 20 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks * | 44 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 34 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 30 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Luther Head * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter