Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -10 (86-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 11-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 10-16 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Devean George * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 22 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 6-20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 28 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter