Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 42 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter