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2008-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ— (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—

Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Harris * 40 5-14 0-1 10-11 7 5 2 1 3 20 18 -
Vince Carter * 37 8-24 2-5 2-3 10 5 0 1 0 20 12 -
Trenton Hassell * 32 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
Ryan Anderson * 32 6-11 3-7 6-8 9 2 0 0 1 21 20 -
Brook Lopez * 25 4-13 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 3 4 10 5 -
Josh Boone * 21 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 3 0 1 7 13 -
Keyon Dooling * 18 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Jianlian Yi * 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
Bobby Simmons * 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 7 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Kapono * 40 6-13 5-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 17 10 -
Jose Calderon * 38 5-10 3-7 2-2 3 8 0 0 5 15 11 -
Chris Bosh * 38 4-15 1-2 8-10 9 4 0 2 1 17 16 -
Jamario Moon * 27 3-6 0-1 4-4 9 1 2 1 1 10 16 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 27 6-12 0-0 2-6 6 1 0 2 1 14 10 -
Andrea Bargnani * 23 2-6 0-1 6-6 2 0 1 2 0 10 9 -
Joey Graham * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Anthony Parker * 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
Roko Ukic * 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter