Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -12 (86-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 28 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 39 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 21 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter