Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (103-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 44 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 28 | 8-15 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 14 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 44 | 12-21 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Greg Buckner | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter