Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (114-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 43 | 13-21 | 3-7 | 13-13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 28 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 39 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 40 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 36 | 11-20 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 33 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter