Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +23 (119-96). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 39 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 39 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Joe Alexander * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 41 | 7-23 | 1-8 | 6-9 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rob Kurz | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter