Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 43 | 11-24 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 40 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 38 | 16-29 | 4-8 | 9-12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 32 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| JR Smith * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter