Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (101-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 38 | 9-25 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 38 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Roy Hibbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kapono * | 38 | 11-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hassan Adams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter