Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Acie Law * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 38 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 33 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter