Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (126-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 50 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 33 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 47 | 12-25 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 41 | 7-21 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 29 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 52 | 16-33 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 46 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 46 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 29 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 37 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Devean George * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter