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2008-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 โœ— (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls -8 (95-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 47 11-19 0-1 3-5 9 5 1 1 5 25 17 -
Andre Miller * 44 9-26 0-2 10-11 4 4 3 0 2 28 11 -
Elton Brand * 42 8-18 0-0 6-9 14 0 2 1 1 22 20 -
Willie Green * 39 3-10 2-3 0-0 5 2 2 0 4 8 3 -
Thaddeus Young * 29 1-9 0-3 2-2 5 2 5 1 2 4 6 -
Marreese Speights * 26 5-9 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
Samuel Dalembert * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 5 -
Lou Williams * 10 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 3 5 0 -
Theo Ratliff * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Royal Ivey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Gordon * 45 6-18 1-5 5-6 8 4 0 1 4 18 9 -
Derrick Rose * 40 11-19 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 0 6 24 7 -
Drew Gooden * 37 0-5 0-1 9-10 5 3 1 0 6 9 7 -
Luol Deng * 37 4-11 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 2 1 10 4 -
Tyrus Thomas * 32 4-9 0-0 6-6 13 1 0 3 2 14 20 -
Andres Nocioni * 27 4-11 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
Larry Hughes * 22 4-7 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
Joakim Noah * 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 3 2 2 9 -
Lindsey Hunter * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Aaron Gray 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter