Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +19 (103-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Bowen | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Head * | 41 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 18 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Von Wafer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joey Dorsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter