Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +2.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 (103-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 41 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 19 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 39 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter