Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (109-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 29 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 39 | 10-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| James Singleton * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawne Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Devean George | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter